Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.