Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.