Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.78% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.94%) and 0-3 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.