Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 38.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.