Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.22% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.