Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 46.97% | 23.64% | 29.38% |
| Both teams to score 59.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% | 41.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% | 64.06% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% | 17.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% | 26.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% | 62.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.38% |