Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.67% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 53.08% | 24.67% | 22.25% |
| Both teams to score 49.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% | 73.62% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% | 51.37% |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% | 38.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.89% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.57% Total : 22.25% |