Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 44.07% | 25.78% | 30.14% |
| Both teams to score 53.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% | 50.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.62% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% | 22.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% | 67.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.14% |