Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 80.72%. A draw had a probability of 12.72% and a win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 6.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.31%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%) , while for a Hearts Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.