Scottish Championship
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mark McKenzie 8' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 14' goal
  • Anton Dowds 67' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Foulds 47'
  • yellowcard Cheick Diabate 71'
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 74'
  • goal Josh McPake 77'
  • yellowcard Adama Sidibeh 78'
  • goal Josh McPake 87'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Josh McPake 90'
  • goal Kai Fotheringham 90'+2'

Ayr United vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Partick
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mark McKenzie

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
St Johnstone 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 40.85%
Draw 26.41%
St Johnstone 32.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.26%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.57%
Under 2.5 52.42%
Over 3.5 25.9%
Under 3.5 74.1%
Over 4.5 11.93%
Under 4.5 88.06%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 74.71%
Under 0.5 25.28%
Over 1.5 39.94%
Under 1.5 60.05%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 69.94%
Under 0.5 30.05%
Over 1.5 33.81%
Under 1.5 66.18%

Score analysis

Ayr United 40.84%
Draw 26.41%
St Johnstone 32.73%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 40.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.19%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.41%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.73%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Max Kucheriavyi 43' goal
  • Graham Carey 84' yellowcard
  • Taylor Steven 90'+3' yellowcard
  • T. Steven 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal George Stanger 29'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 35'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 67'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 70'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 71'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 73'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Graham Carey 2' goal
  • yellowcard Finn Ecrepont 77'
Scottish Cup
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Aaron Drinan 4' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 23' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 26' redcard
  • Grant Gillespie 58' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Muirhead 18' (OG)
  • goal Callum Hendry 27'