Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 42.83% ( | 26.6% | 30.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( | 53.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( | 24.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( | 59.54% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( | 68.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.56% |