Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 36.56% | 26.54% | 36.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( | 52.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( | 27.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% | 63.25% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( | 27.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( | 63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.35% 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.9% |