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Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.40pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
Greenock Morton

Hamilton
0 - 1
Morton


Tumilty (17'), Barjonas (24'), Williamson (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stuparevic (17' pen.)
Ballantyne (61'), O'Boy (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Hamilton Academical and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawGreenock Morton
40.29%26.34%33.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.42%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 40.28%
    Greenock Morton 33.37%
    Draw 26.33%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.14%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.37%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Morton
0-0
Hamilton
Boyes (65')
Barjonas (28'), Tumilty (45'), MacDonald (82')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Morton
2-0
Hamilton
Gillespie (54'), King (66')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Hamilton
1-0
Morton
Winter (19' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Morton
5-0
Hamilton
Baird (8'), Kabia (16'), Gillespie (23'), Muirhead (48', 54')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hamilton
1-1
Morton
Ryan (12')
Want (2'), Martin (52'), Ryan (61'), Doyle (81'), Easton (86')
Want (40')
Gillespie (42' pen.)
Strapp (2'), King (67'), Lyon (73'), Hynes (90')