Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 41.96% ( | 25.89% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( | 23.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( | 58.02% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.15% |