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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Airdrieonians

Dundee
6 - 1
Airdrieonians

Palmer-Houlden (12'), McGhee (40'), Tiffoney (61'), Portales (74'), Main (86'), Cameron (90+1')
Portales (17'), Ingram (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Frizzell (76')
McDonald (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Dundee and Airdrieonians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Hearts
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ayr 5-0 Airdrieonians
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAirdrieonians
41.3% (-0.188 -0.19)24.34% (-0.199 -0.2)34.36% (0.389 0.39)
Both teams to score 59.73% (0.816 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (1.021 1.02)42.93% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (1.005 1.01)65.33% (-1.006 -1.01)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.346 0.35)20.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.53899999999999 0.54)53.63% (-0.542 -0.54)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (0.706 0.71)24.47% (-0.706 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (0.984 0.98)58.91% (-0.984 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 41.3%
    Airdrieonians 34.36%
    Draw 24.34%
DundeeDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.105 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Airdrieonians
1-0
Dundee
McCabe (89' pen.)
Rae (62'), McCabe (65'), Fordyce (75'), Todorov (90+1')

McCowan (88'), Wilkie (90+4')