Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.