Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 12' goal
  • Antonio Portales 17' yellowcard
  • Jordan McGhee 40' goal
  • Scott Tiffoney 61' goal
  • Ethan Ingram 72' yellowcard
  • Antonio Portales 74' goal
  • Curtis Main 86' goal
  • Lyall Cameron 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Dylan McDonald 63'
  • goal Adam Frizzell 76'

Dundee vs Airdrieonians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result

Dundee 41.3% (-0.19)
Draw 24.34% (-0.20)
Airdrieonians 34.36% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.73% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.06% (+1.03)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-1.03)
Over 3.5 34.66% (+1.01)
Under 3.5 65.33% (-1.01)
Over 4.5 18.01% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 81.98% (-0.75)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 79.09% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 20.91% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 46.36% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 53.63% (-0.55)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 75.53% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 24.47% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 41.08% (+0.99)
Under 1.5 58.91% (-0.99)

Score analysis

Dundee 41.3%
Draw 24.34%
Airdrieonians 34.36%
Dundee
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.28)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.21% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.52% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
Airdrieonians
1-2 @ 7.93% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-95.78)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.36%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Joshua Rae 62' yellowcard
  • Rhys McCabe 65' yellowcard
  • Callum Fordyce 75' yellowcard
  • Rhys McCabe 89' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 88'
  • yellowcard Jack Wilkie 90'+4'