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Innes Murray
79'
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Luke McCowan
51'
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Ethan Ingram
79'
Arbroath vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-3 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result
Arbroath
16.1%
▼
(-2.53)
Draw
18.28%
▼
(-2.17)
Dundee
65.62%
▲
(+4.70)
Both Teams to Score:
60.6%
▲
(+2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.53%
▲
(+5.85)
Under 2.5
32.46%
▼
(-5.84)
Over 3.5
45.89%
▲
(+6.49)
Under 3.5
54.1%
▼
(-6.48)
Over 4.5
27.07%
▲
(+5.41)
Under 4.5
72.93%
▼
(-5.40)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
66.8%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
33.19%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 1.5
30.2%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 1.5
69.8%
▼
(-0.88)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5
90.71%
▲
(+2.90)
Under 0.5
9.29%
▼
(-2.89)
Over 1.5
68.65%
▲
(+6.46)
Under 1.5
31.35%
▼
(-6.46)
Score analysis
Arbroath
16.1%
Draw
18.28%
Dundee
65.62%
Arbroath
2-1
@
4.45%
▼
(-0.62)
1-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-1.07)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 16.1%
1-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-1.07)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.54)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 16.1%
Draw
1-1
@
8.08%
▼
(-1.33)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-1.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.28%
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-1.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.28%
Dundee
1-2
@
9.6%
▼
(-0.31)
0-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.66)
0-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-1.39)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.46)
1-4 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.86)
2-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.45)
0-4 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.71)
2-4 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.52)
1-5 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.61)
0-5 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.52)
2-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-82.02)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 65.62%
0-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.48)
1-3 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.66)
0-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-1.39)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.46)
1-4 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.86)
2-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.45)
0-4 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.71)
2-4 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.52)
1-5 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.61)
0-5 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.52)
2-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-82.02)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 65.62%