Arbroath
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Dundee logo

Arbroath
0 - 2
Dundee


Murray (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCowan (51' pen.), Ingram (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Arbroath and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 5-0 Arbroath
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-7 Dundee
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-3 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawDundee
16.1% (-2.529 -2.53)18.28% (-2.164 -2.16)65.62% (4.697 4.7)
Both teams to score 60.6% (2.634 2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.53% (5.844 5.84)32.46% (-5.839 -5.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.89% (6.485 6.49)54.1% (-6.48 -6.48)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.806 0.81)33.19% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (0.878 0.88)69.8% (-0.873 -0.87)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (2.89 2.89)9.29% (-2.885 -2.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.65% (6.456 6.46)31.35% (-6.451 -6.45)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 16.1%
    Dundee 65.62%
    Draw 18.28%
ArbroathDrawDundee
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.618 -0.62)
1-0 @ 3.4% (-1.065 -1.07)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.025 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (-0.534 -0.53)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 16.1%
1-1 @ 8.08% (-1.324 -1.32)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-1.056 -1.06)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.28%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.471 -0.47)
1-3 @ 7.61% (0.655 0.66)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-1.389 -1.39)
0-3 @ 6.9% (0.455 0.46)
1-4 @ 4.52% (0.86 0.86)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.444 0.44)
0-4 @ 4.1% (0.706 0.71)
2-4 @ 2.49% (0.518 0.52)
1-5 @ 2.15% (0.606 0.61)
0-5 @ 1.95% (0.519 0.52)
2-5 @ 1.19% (0.353 0.35)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 65.62%

How you voted: Arbroath vs Dundee

Arbroath
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Dundee
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arbroath
0-0
Dundee
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Dundee
2-4
Arbroath
McMullan (41'), Rudden (56' pen.)
McKenna (9'), Hamilton (13'), O'Brien (58'), Hilson (77')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Arbroath
1-1
Dundee
Linn (37')
Rudden (6')
Aug 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee
4-2
Arbroath
McCowan (40'), Rudden (64'), Robinson (88'), Mulligan (90+2')
Sharp (51')
Low (51' pen.), Hamilton (81')
Hamilton (50'), O'Brien (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Dundee
2-0
Arbroath
Mullen (55'), Anderson (82')
Anderson (34'), Adam (67'), Sow (88')

Thomson (40')
> Match Report