Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Callum Smith 21' goal
  • Callum Smith 25' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 56' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 79' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 82' goal

Raith Rovers vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Lewis Vaughan

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 5 Queen's Park
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jay Bird

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result

Raith Rovers 80.84% (-0.56)
Draw 12.54% (+0.43)
Arbroath 6.61% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.98% (-1.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.72% (-1.72)
Under 2.5 32.27% (+1.72)
Over 3.5 46.11% (-2.02)
Under 3.5 53.88% (+2.03)
Over 4.5 27.26% (-1.79)
Under 4.5 72.74% (+1.79)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 93.89% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 6.11% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 76.82% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 23.18% (+1.26)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 50.04% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 49.96% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 15.37% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 84.63% (+0.66)

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 80.84%
Draw 12.54%
Arbroath 6.61%
Raith Rovers
2-0 @ 11.92% (+0.49)
3-0 @ 11.11% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.53% (+0.56)
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.12)
4-0 @ 7.77% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 5.39% (-0.22)
5-0 @ 4.34% (-0.18)
5-1 @ 3.01% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.11)
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.13)
6-1 @ 1.4% (-0.14)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 80.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.92% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 3.05% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 12.54%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 2.12% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 6.61%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 61' goal
  • Leighton McIntosh 69' goal
  • Mark Stowe 77' goal
  • goal Zak Rudden 26'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 46'
  • goal Josh Mullin 49'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Dylan Easton 34' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 61' goal
  • Scott Brown 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Slater 56'
  • goal Ally Adams 76'
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 81'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jermaine Hylton 30' goal
  • Keaghan Jacobs 51' yellowcard
  • Craig Slater 84' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Connolly 19'
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 87'
  • goal Lewis Vaughan 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ross Millen 90'+6'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Brown 3' goal
  • goal Thomas O'Brien 48'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael McKenna 20' goal
  • goal Scott Brown 70'
  • goal Connor McBride 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ricky Little 6' goal
  • goal Colin Hamilton 45'