Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
5 - 0
Arbroath

Smith (21', 25'), Vaughan (56' pen., 79' pen.), Hamilton (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 0-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 0-5 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
80.84% ( -0.56)	12.54% ( 0.42)	6.61% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.72% (

-1.71)

32.27% (

1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.11% (

-2.02)

53.88% (

2.02)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.89% (

-0.44)

6.11% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.82% (

-1.25)

23.18% (

1.25)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.04% (

-0.93)

49.96% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.37% (

-0.65)

84.63% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 80.84%

Arbroath 6.61%

Draw 12.54%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.76% Total : 80.84%	1-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.54%	0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.61%