MX23RW : Monday, April 29 13:11:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dundee United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Inverness CT
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Arbroath

Ayr
5 - 0
Arbroath

Willoughby (24' pen.), Musonda (32'), Dowds (41' pen.), Dempsey (68'), Chalmers (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gold (27'), McIntosh (59')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
70.68% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15) 17.26% (0.032 0.03) 12.06% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (0.157 0.16)37.17% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (0.171 0.17)59.37% (-0.172 -0.17)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)9.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (0.291 0.29)41.85% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (0.254 0.25)78.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 70.68%
    Arbroath 12.06%
    Draw 17.26%
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.68% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.68%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.26%
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.06%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Ayr
2-0
Arbroath
Dempsey (74'), Chalmers (77')
Syla (78')

Robinson (42'), Hamilton (55'), Jacobs (63'), Stewart (63')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Arbroath
0-0
Ayr
McIntosh (90+6')
Reading (41'), Young (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Arbroath
2-1
Ayr
Bird (21'), Hylton (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Hylton (71'), Little (75')
Rose (45+3')
McAllister (26')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Arbroath
2-0
Ayr
Hilson (27'), Gold (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Dempsey (38' pen.), McGinty (76')
Adarkwa (57'), Ben El-Mhanni (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dundee UnitedDundee Utd35219569224772
2Raith Rovers35199753421166
3Partick ThistlePartick351413862501255
4AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians35157134442252
5Greenock MortonMorton35129144243-145
6Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline351111134045-544
7Ayr UnitedAyr35127165058-843
8Queen's ParkQueen's Park351010154856-840
9Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness35912143839-139
10Arbroath3565243584-4923


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