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Kurt Willoughby
24'
-
Frankie Musonda
32'
-
Anton Dowds
41'
-
Ben Dempsey
68'
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Logan Chalmers
90'
-
David Gold
27'
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Leighton McIntosh
59'
Ayr United vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result
Ayr United
70.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
17.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Arbroath
12.06%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
52.7%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.83%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
37.17%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
40.63%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
59.37%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
22.65%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
77.35%
▼
(-0.15)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
90.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
9.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
68.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
31.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5
58.14%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
41.85%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
21.69%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
78.3%
▼
(-0.26)
Score analysis
Ayr United
70.68%
Draw
17.26%
Arbroath
12.06%
Ayr United
2-0
@
10.99%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 70.68%
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 70.68%
Draw
1-1
@
8.08%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 17.26%
2-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 17.26%
Arbroath
1-2
@
3.52%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.06%
0-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 12.06%