Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
5 - 0
Arbroath

Willoughby (24' pen.), Musonda (32'), Dowds (41' pen.), Dempsey (68'), Chalmers (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gold (27'), McIntosh (59')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Morton
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
70.68% ( -0.15)	17.26% ( 0.03)	12.06% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83% (

0.16)

37.17% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63% (

0.17)

59.37% (

-0.17)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.64% (

0.01)

9.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.46% (

0.02)

31.53% (

-0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.14% (

0.29)

41.85% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.69% (

0.25)

78.3% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 70.68%

Arbroath 12.06%

Draw 17.26%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.68%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.26%	1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.06%