Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 2
Queen's Park

Sanders (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paton (19'), Sheridan (59')
Welsh (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Inverness 1-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Queen's Park

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
46% ( -0.1)	24.48% ( 0.03)	29.52% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 57.15% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

-0.1)

45.4% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

-0.1)

67.73% (

0.1)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

-0.08)

19.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

-0.14)

51.93% (

0.14)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0)

28.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0)

64.53% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 46%

Queen's Park 29.52%

Draw 24.47%

Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.52%