Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
4 - 3
Partick

McAllister (15'), Willoughby (43', 45+2'), McHugh (84')
McHugh (51'), McAllister (56')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Graham (33'), Adeloye (78'), Sanders (83' og.)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Partick 1-3 Dunfermline
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
39.79% ( -1.81)	25.1% ( 0.18)	35.1% ( 1.62)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

-0.5)

46.31% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

-0.48)

68.6% (

0.47)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-1.11)

23.1% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

-1.65)

56.95% (

1.64)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

0.72)

25.63% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

0.97)

60.52% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 39.79%

Partick Thistle 35.1%

Draw 25.1%

Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.1%