Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 4
Partick

Syla (14'), McAllister (57'), Reading (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Graham (2'), Lawless (58', 67'), Adeloye (81')
Muirhead (29')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Partick Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 0-1 Falkirk
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Partick 2-3 QotS
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
34.43% ( 0.03)	26.25% ( -0)	39.32% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58% (

0.02)

51.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

0.02)

73.22% (

-0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

0.03)

28.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

0.04)

64.24% (

-0.04)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.01)

25.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

-0.01)

60.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 34.44%

Partick Thistle 39.32%

Draw 26.24%

Ayr United	Draw	Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.44%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.32%