Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
3 - 1
Ayr

Crawford (62'), Muirhead (75' pen.), Boyd (87')
Broadfoot (40'), Quitongo (40'), Gillespie (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pendlebury (51')
Musonda (11'), Reading (39'), Murdoch (40'), McAllister (44'), Ahui (49')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 4-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 6-0 Alloa
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
51.2% ( -0.28)	25.03% ( 0.28)	23.76% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.12% (

-1.09)

51.88% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.37% (

-0.95)

73.63% (

0.95)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.54)

20.26% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

-0.88)

52.61% (

0.87)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29% (

-0.59)

36.71% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.5% (

-0.6)

73.49% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 51.2%

Ayr United 23.76%

Draw 25.03%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.2%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.76%