MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 21:13:39| >> :600:12705643:12705643:
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Central Park
Greenock Morton

Kelty Hearts
1 - 3
Morton

Daramola (45+1')
Owens (32'), O'Ware (61'), Cunningham (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boyd (58'), Crawford (64'), Broadfoot (90+3')
Oakley (32'), Boyd (42'), Gillespie (52'), McGrattan (70'), Baird (84')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Kelty Hearts and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Morton
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawGreenock Morton
26.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.38% (0.0019999999999989 0) 49.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)31.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.8%
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 26.39%
    Greenock Morton 49.23%
    Draw 24.38%
Kelty HeartsDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 6.98%
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.39%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 49.23%

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