Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
56.61% ( -0.02) | 22.24% ( 0.01) | 21.15% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( -0.02) | 42.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( -0.02) | 65.33% ( 0.02) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% ( -0.02) | 14.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% ( -0.03) | 43.41% ( 0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0) | 34.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0) | 70.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |