Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 56.61% ( | 22.24% ( | 21.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( | 42.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( | 14.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( | 43.41% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( | 70.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.15% |