Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Queen of the South
Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
Kelty Hearts

QotS
4 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Cochrane (8'), Paton (27', 69' pen.), Murray (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Agyeman (34')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-3 QotS
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Peterhead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawKelty Hearts
56.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)21.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)42.93% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)14.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)43.41% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 56.61%
    Kelty Hearts 21.15%
    Draw 22.24%
Queen of the SouthDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22%
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.61%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.15%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Kelty Hearts
3-0
QotS
Higginbotham (70' pen., 84'), Agyeman (76')
Milne (4'), Barjonas (63'), Cardle (88')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
QotS
0-0
Kelty Hearts
QotS win 3-2 on penalties

Wilson (66')

McNab (52'), Forster (89')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 18
QotS
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Paton (7')
Austin (80'), Higginbotham (84' pen.)
Logan (29')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Kelty Hearts
1-0
QotS
Tidser (34')

Paton (44')