Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Alloa Athletic

Kelty Hearts
0 - 1
Alloa

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sammon (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 Clyde
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 QotS
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawAlloa Athletic
40.38% (-0.729 -0.73)24.9% (0.157 0.16)34.72% (0.571 0.57)
Both teams to score 57.82% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (-0.61 -0.61)45.46% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (-0.583 -0.58)67.8% (0.583 0.58)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.617 -0.62)22.44% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (-0.929 -0.93)55.97% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.058999999999997 0.06)60.28% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 40.38%
    Alloa Athletic 34.72%
    Draw 24.9%
Kelty HeartsDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.38%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.72%

Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 1pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
1-1
Alloa
Agyeman (56')
Church (26')
Sammon (65')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Alloa
3-1
Kelty Hearts
Scougall (11'), Rodden (68', 81')
Cawley (38'), Durnan (63')
Graham (87' og.)
Forster (51'), Barjonas (88')