Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
25.99% ( 0.09) | 24.17% ( 0.18) | 49.85% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( -0.71) | 46.41% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( -0.68) | 68.69% ( 0.68) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( -0.31) | 31.85% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( -0.36) | 68.29% ( 0.37) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0.38) | 18.67% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( -0.64) | 50% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |