Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
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Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
Falkirk

Alloa
1 - 1
Falkirk

Taggart (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliver (86')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
34.13% (1.726 1.73)26.32% (1.433 1.43)39.56% (-3.161 -3.16)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-4.313 -4.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-5.794 -5.79)51.76% (5.791 5.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-5.257 -5.26)73.53% (5.255 5.26)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-1.744 -1.74)28.83% (1.741 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-2.221 -2.22)64.69% (2.219 2.22)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (-4.142 -4.14)25.68% (4.138 4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41% (-5.983 -5.98)60.58% (5.978 5.98)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 34.13%
    Falkirk 39.55%
    Draw 26.31%
Alloa AthleticDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 9.21% (1.586 1.59)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.749 0.75)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.82 0.82)
0-0 @ 7.4% (1.568 1.57)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.573 -0.57)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 10.06% (1.102 1.1)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.74 -0.74)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.603 -0.6)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.453 -0.45)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.55%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Alloa
1-2
Falkirk
Donnelly (21')
McKay (45'), Burrell (77')
McKay (54')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Falkirk
3-1
Alloa
McKay (3'), Alegria (7', 44')
Sammon (86')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Falkirk
1-2
Alloa
Dowds (77')
Cawley (8'), Sammon (56')
Church (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Alloa
0-3
Falkirk

Mendy (2'), King (48')
Kabia (50'), McGuffie (58'), Dowds (78')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Falkirk
1-1
Alloa
Morrison (88' pen.)
Miller (24')
Henderson (90')
Durnan (76'), (83'), Hutton (87'), Boyd (90+4')