Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
44.07% ( -0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 30.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( 0.05) | 49.16% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( 0.04) | 71.23% ( -0.04) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0.01) | 22.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( 0.02) | 55.71% ( -0.03) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( 0.03) | 29.94% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% ( 0.04) | 66.05% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |