Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.