Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
27.07% ( 2.14) | 24.58% ( 0.27) | 48.35% ( -2.41) |
Both teams to score 55.03% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( 0.51) | 47.37% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( 0.47) | 69.59% ( -0.46) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% ( 1.99) | 31.51% ( -1.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% ( 2.24) | 67.9% ( -2.23) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( -0.78) | 19.65% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% ( -1.28) | 51.62% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |