Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
47.39% ( -0.12) | 25.34% ( -0.05) | 27.26% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% ( 0.29) | 50.45% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% ( 0.25) | 72.38% ( -0.26) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 0.07) | 21.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 0.1) | 54.23% ( -0.11) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% ( 0.28) | 32.97% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.44% ( 0.31) | 69.56% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |