| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montrose | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 57.5% ( | 22.71% ( | 19.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( | 46.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( | 69.03% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( | 16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% ( | 45.32% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% ( | 74.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.79% |