Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Kelty Hearts

Alloa
3 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Scougall (11'), Rodden (68', 81')
Cawley (38'), Durnan (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graham (87' og.)
Forster (51'), Barjonas (88')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-0 Alloa
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Edinburgh
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
32.56% (0.552 0.55)25.77% (0.028000000000002 0.03)41.67% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.29% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)49.78% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.038 0.04)71.78% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.381 0.38)28.86% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.472 0.47)64.72% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)23.69% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.393 -0.39)57.8% (0.389 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 32.56%
    Kelty Hearts 41.67%
    Draw 25.76%
Alloa AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.67%