| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 35 | -11 | 42 |
| 7 | Peterhead | 35 | -5 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Clyde | 35 | -22 | 39 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 35 | -24 | 31 |
| 10 | East Fife | 35 | -38 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 50.98% | 23.66% | 25.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% | 44.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% | 67.09% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% | 17.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% | 48.17% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% | 31.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% | 67.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.73% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-1 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.36% |