Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 56.77% | 22.76% | 20.47% |
| Both teams to score 53.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.92% | 46.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.62% | 68.38% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% | 16.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% | 45.34% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% | 36.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% | 73.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.84% 3-1 @ 6.04% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.31% Total : 56.77% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.47% |