Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
64.36% | 20.45% | 15.19% |
Both teams to score 50.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% | 44.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% | 67.02% |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% | 13.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% | 39.81% |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.03% | 41.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.59% | 78.41% |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-0 @ 11.35% 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.99% Total : 64.35% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.79% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.64% Total : 15.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |