Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 64.36% | 20.45% | 15.19% |
| Both teams to score 50.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% | 44.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% | 67.02% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% | 13.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.19% | 39.81% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.03% | 41.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.59% | 78.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.99% Total : 64.35% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.79% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.64% Total : 15.19% |