Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 28.77% | 25.12% | 46.11% |
| Both teams to score 54.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% | 70.75% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% | 30.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% | 67.18% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% | 21.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 4.8% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.11% |