Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 36.44% | 26.29% | 37.26% |
| Both teams to score 53.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% | 51.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% | 73.23% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.26% |