Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 25.31% | 24.83% | 49.85% |
| Both teams to score 52.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% | 49.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% | 71.77% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% | 34.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% | 70.89% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% | 19.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% | 52.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 5.1% 0-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.85% |