Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 35.58% | 24.14% | 40.28% |
| Both teams to score 60.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% | 41.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% | 64.14% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% | 23.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% | 57.15% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% | 20.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% | 53.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.28% |