Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 52.66% | 24.37% | 22.96% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% | 49.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% | 18.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% | 50.45% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.81% | 73.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.66% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.96% |