Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Falkirk |
| 34.32% | 24.65% | 41.03% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% | 44.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% | 66.75% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% | 21.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% | 54.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.32% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-1 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.03% |