Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Falkirk |
34.32% | 24.65% | 41.03% |
Both teams to score 58.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.63% | 44.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.26% | 66.75% |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% | 25.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% | 59.89% |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% | 21.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% | 54.78% |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.32% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-1 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |