Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 42.33% | 25.59% | 32.07% |
| Both teams to score 54.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% | 49.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% | 23.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.08% |