Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 59.02% | 22.09% | 18.9% |
| Both teams to score 52.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% | 15.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.49% | 43.51% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% | 37.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% | 74.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.01% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.53% 1-2 @ 5.08% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.9% |