Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 35.27% | 26.82% | 37.9% |
| Both teams to score 51.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% | 53.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% | 75.16% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% | 29.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% | 64.96% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% | 27.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% | 62.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.27% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.9% |