Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 33.04% | 26.95% | 40.01% |
| Both teams to score 50.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% | 54.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% | 67.19% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% | 61.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40% |