Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 30.36% | 25.68% | 43.97% |
| Both teams to score 53.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.82% | 50.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.86% | 72.14% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% | 30.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% | 22.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% | 56.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 7.62% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.96% |