Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
62.77% | 21.48% | 15.75% |
Both teams to score 48.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% | 47.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% | 70.14% |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% | 14.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.15% | 42.85% |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.78% | 43.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% | 79.48% |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.38% Total : 62.76% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 91 | 23 | 68 | 88 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 27 | 41 | 68 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 47 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 38 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 37 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 35 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 35 | 92 | -57 | 5 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |