Airdrieonians
3 - 2
Dumbarton

McCabe (8' pen.), Easton (90'), Kouider-Aissa (90+6')
McCabe (44'), Kerr (70'), Kouider-Aissa (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

MacLean (25'), Paton (90+4')
Boyle (8'), Paton (17'), McGeever (31'), McKee (80'), Ramsbottom (81'), Buchanan (88')
MacLean (58'), Buchanan (88'), Geggan (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Dumbarton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Dumbarton
62.77%	21.48%	15.75%

Both teams to score 48.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03%

47.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86%

70.14%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32%

14.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.15%

42.85%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.78%

43.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.52%

79.48%

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 62.76%

Dumbarton 15.75%

Draw 21.48%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.38% Total : 62.76%	1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.48%	0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.75%