Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 42% | 27.34% | 30.66% |
| Both teams to score 48.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% | 77.6% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% | 61.84% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% | 33.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% | 70.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.66% |