Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 43.46% | 25.76% | 30.78% |
| Both teams to score 53.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% | 50.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% | 72.3% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% | 23.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% | 66.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.78% |